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In the previous articles of our series, we have noted that the policy of turning the screws in the matters of domestic politics is the only viable survival tactic for the current Kazakhstani elite. And it doesn’t matter who is in the forefront of it – the current leader of the nation, his successors or a new “elbasy”.
As we demonstrate in “Nazarbayev’s Pyrrhic Victory and the State Policy Failure”, there are currently no drivers to stimulate and strongly influence the Kazakhstan economy and these drivers are unlikely to appear any time soon. With what, then, Kazakhstan must live at present?
In the first article of the series, we argued that preserving the current state policy would lead to a collapse of Nazarbayev’s political system. It will happen because the very foundation of the existing system lies in a tacit agreement between the ruling elite and the Kazakh citizens.
The citizens of Kazakhstan are enduring yet another critical period of their country’s history. We can see it from the mere fact that the 25th anniversary of Kazakhstan’s independence was celebrated officially but not publicly and was overshadowed by many unpleasant incidents.
The reign of President Nazarbayev is ending. Everyone in Kazakhstan realizes it now. To see that, one only needs to look at the last year discussion in the Kazakh press and the Internet. The discussion was about a possible Nazarbayev’s successor(s) and how the state regime could (should) change after the so called “leader of the nation” parts from this life. What is more, on the background of Islam Karimov’s death and all the related internal political events in the neighboring Uzbekistan, this discussion took an especially topical turn.
